---------------------------------------- Type of abstract: Tutorial Presenter Name: Karin Labitzke Status of first author: non-student ---------------------------------------- Title: Influence of 11-Year solar variation on atmospheric circulation ---------------------------------------- Authors: Karin Labitzke Institut fuer Meteorologie, Free University C.-H.Becker Weg 6-10 12165 BERLIN Germany e-mail: labitzke@strat01.met.fu-berlin.de ---------------------------------------- Abstract: The variability of the solar radiation is an important factor affecting climate on Earth. Although its magnitude varied by only 0.1% over the last two 11-year solar cycles, the variation was larger during certain periods of the last millenium and caused global temperature variations of more than half a degree. Statistical analyses of the influence of the solar radiation on climate change give the following results: changes of global temperatures until the late 19th century can be ex- plained quite well by changes of solar activity. With the onset of fossil fuel combustion in the last century and the increase in the world population, the contribution of the greenhouse effect increases and becomes dominant during the last two decades. The contribution of the solar variability is now assumed to be about one third of the total warming. Analyses of data in the stratosphere and troposphere, corre- lating very well with the 11-year solar cycle will be shown and a possible mechanism will be discussed which could explain the large effect of the small changes in solar radiation. ---------------------------------------- Stratospheric Processes And their Role in Climate (SPARC cosponsored by SCOSTEP)